Probability

In a classroom, $60\%$ of the students have brown hair, $30\%$ have brown eyes, and $10\%$ have both brown hair and eyes. A student is selected at random.

  1. If the student has brown hair, what is the probability that the student also has brown eyes?
  2. If the student does not have brown hair, what is the probability that the student does not have brown eyes?


Given: $60\%$ of the students have brown hair; $30\%$ have brown eyes; $10\%$ have both brown hair and brown eyes

Let $A$ be the event of selecting a student with brown hair

Then, $P \left(A\right) = \dfrac{60}{100} = \dfrac{6}{10}$

Let $B$ be the event of selecting a student with brown eyes

Then, $P \left(B\right) = \dfrac{30}{100} = \dfrac{3}{10}$

$\left(A \cap B\right)$ is the event of selecting a student with brown hair AND brown eyes

Then, $P \left(A \cap B\right) = \dfrac{10}{100} = \dfrac{1}{10}$

  1. P(if the student has brown hair then the student also has brown eyes)

    $= P \left(B | A\right) = \dfrac{P \left(A \cap B\right)}{P \left(A\right)} = \dfrac{1 / 10}{6 / 10} = \dfrac{1}{6}$

  2. P(student does not have brown hair) $= P\left(\overline{A}\right) = 1 - P \left(A\right) = 1 - \dfrac{6}{10} = \dfrac{4}{10}$

    P(if the student does not have brown hair then the student also does not have brown eyes)

    $= P \left(\overline{B} | \overline{A}\right) = \dfrac{P \left(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B}\right)}{P \left(\overline{A}\right)}$

    Now,

    $\begin{aligned} P \left(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B}\right) & = P \left(\overline{A \cup B}\right) \\\\ & = 1 - P \left(A \cup B\right) \\\\ & = 1 - \left[P \left(A\right) + P \left(B\right) - P \left(A \cap B\right)\right] \\\\ & = 1 - \left[\dfrac{6}{10} + \dfrac{3}{10} - \dfrac{1}{10}\right] \\\\ & = 1 - \dfrac{8}{10} \\\\ & = \dfrac{2}{10} \end{aligned}$

    $\therefore \;$ $P \left(\overline{B} | \overline{A}\right) = \dfrac{2 / 10}{4 / 10} = \dfrac{2}{4} = \dfrac{1}{2}$